Today's Predictions
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Win probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per game using Markov chain + Elo ensemble model.
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How It Works
โก Markov Chains
Every batter and pitcher has a 25-state transition matrix built from 10 seasons of play-by-play data. We simulate each at-bat probabilistically.
๐ Elo Ratings
Dynamic team ratings that update after every game, capturing momentum and strength of schedule. Blended 50/50 with Markov for best accuracy.
๐ฒ Monte Carlo
10,000 full game simulations per matchup. Win probabilities and score distributions โ all from the same engine.