Blog

Math, models, and baseball.

Coming Soon

We're Back — And We Rebuilt Everything

DingerStats is back with a completely rebuilt prediction engine. What changed, what we learned, and what's coming for 2026.

Coming Soon

How Markov Chains Predict Baseball Games

A deep dive into 25-state transition matrices, Monte Carlo simulation, and why player-level modeling matters.

Coming Soon

56% Accuracy: What That Actually Means

7,289 games, 3 seasons, 10,000 simulations each. Our backtest results in context — and why baseball is harder to predict than you think.